Abstract

Background: Osteosarcoma (OS) is the most common primary tumor of bone in adolescents, and its survival rate is generally less than 20% when metastases occur. Necroptosis, a novel form of programmed necrotic cell death distinct from apoptosis, has been increasingly recognized as a promising therapeutic strategy. This study sought to identify long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) associated with necrotizing apoptosis to predict prognosis and target drug use to improve patient survival. Methods: Transcriptomic data and clinical data from 85 OS patients with survival time data and expression profiles from 85 random normal adipose tissue samples were extracted from the UCSC Xena website (http://xena.ucsc.edu/). Nine necroptosis-associated differential prognostic lncRNAs were then identified by analysis of variance, correlation analysis, univariate Cox (uni-Cox) regression, and Kaplan–Meier analysis. Then, patients were randomized into training or testing groups. According to uni-Cox, we obtained prognostic lncRNAs in the training group and intersected them with the abovementioned nine lncRNAs to obtain the final necrotizing apoptosis–related differential prognostic lncRNAs (NRlncRNAs). Next, we performed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to construct a risk model of NRlncRNAs. Kaplan–Meier analysis, ROC curves, nomograms, calibration curves, and PCA were used to validate and evaluate the models and grouping. We also analyzed the differences in tumor immunity and drugs between risk groups. Results: We constructed a model containing three NRlncRNAs (AL391121.1, AL354919.2, and AP000851.2) and validated its prognostic predictive power. The value of the AUC curve of 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival probability was 0.806, 0.728, and 0.731, respectively. Moreover, we found that the overall survival time of patients in the high-risk group was shorter than that in the low-risk group. GSEA and ssGSEA showed that immune-related pathways were mainly abundant in the low-risk group. We also validated the differential prediction of immune checkpoint expression, tumor immunity, and therapeutic compounds in the two risk groups. Conclusion: Overall, NRlncRNAs have important functions in OS, and these three NRlncRNAs can predict the prognosis of OS and provide guidance for immunotherapy in OS.

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