Abstract

Prediction of post-progression survival in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib by using time-dependent changes in clinical characteristics

Highlights

  • Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide

  • We reviewed data that were prospectively collected from 171 consecutive patients who received sorafenib (Nexavar; Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals, West Haven, computed tomography (CT), USA) for the treatment of advanced HCC at the Department of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery at the National Hospital Organization Kyushu Medical Center between June 2009 and July 2016

  • HCC was diagnosed based on the results of a pathological examination or a combination of specific radiologic findings obtained via contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) according to the criteria of the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases[2]

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Summary

Introduction

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. It has been shown to prolong both, progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced HCC[4,5]. Since the Sorafenib HCC Assessment Randomized Protocol (SHARP) trial showed the efficacy of sorafenib for prolonging survival in HCC patients almost 10 years ago[4], all phase 3 trials of novel systemic drugs have failed to improve outcomes over sorafenib, both, as first-line[6,7,8,9,10] and second-line treatments (following sorafenib)[10,11,12]. Since tumor progression is a dynamic process, it may be difficult to identify predictors for survival by analyzing clinical characteristic at one static data point. Using dynamic data might help clarify the predictors of survival

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