PREDICTION OF OUTCOMES IN ACUTE EXACERBATION OF CHRONIC OBSTRUCTIVE PULMONARY DISEASE (COPD) WITH DECAF SCORE AND BAP 65 SCORE

Abstract

Background: Prognostic research in exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) requiring hospitalization has been limited and there appears to be little common ground between predictors of mortality in stable disease and during COPD. Furthermore, none of the prognostic tools developed in stable disease have been tested on hospitalised patients so this study was planned. To test dyspnoea, eosinopenia, consolidation, acidaemia, and at Objectives: rial brillation (DECAF) and biological assessment prole (BAP) 65 scores on patients in a tertiary care set up and validate the same. Hospital based prospective observational Methods: study was carried out in 80 patients with COPD who were admitted in Government Hospital for Chest and Communicable Diseases. DECAF and BAP-65 Scores were calculated. Data was analysed using SPSS 22 version software. In our study both DECAF score and BAP-65 score Results: performed equally well for prediction of need for Mechanical Ventilation. The AUC for need for Mechanical Ventilation was 0.75 (95% CI=0.67–0.84) for DECAF score and 0.77 (95% CI=0.67–0.85) for BAP-65 score. The AUC for prediction of mortality for DECAF score was 0.81 (95% condence interval [CI]=0.71–0.88) and for BAP-65 score was 0.79 (95% CI=0.67–0.89). Conclusions: DECAF and BAP-65 are good and also equal in predicting mortality as well as need for mechanical ventilation.