Prediction of necrotizing enterocolitis in very low birth weight infants by superior mesenteric artery ultrasound of postnatal day 1: A nested prospective study.

Abstract

Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a devastating intestinal complication that occurs mainly in very-low-birth-weight infants (VLBWI). The study's aim was to investigate the possibility of early prediction of NEC on postnatal day 1 based on superior mesenteric artery (SMA) doppler ultrasonograpy. A prospective, observational, nested case control study (ChiCTR1900026197) was conducted to enroll VLBWIs (birth weight <1,500 grams) between October 2019 and September 2021. Doppler ultrasound measurement was done during the first 12 h of life and before first feeding. Infants developing NEC (stage II or III) subsequently were included in NEC group and infants spare of NEC were included in control group. 370 VLBWIs were enrolled (30 NEC cases). Among the ultrasound parameters, S/D was significantly higher in the NEC group (OR: 2.081, 95% CI: 1.411-3.069, P = 0.000). The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) following the Logistic regression was 0.704 (95% CI: 0.566-0.842, P = 0.001). The sensitivity of S/D for predicting NEC was 52.2% and the specificity was 92.7%. The critical value of S/D was 6.944 and Youden index was 0.449. Preplanned subgroup analysis confirmed that NEC infants of different stages were characterized by different SMA bloodstream. Small for gestational age (SGA) might be a confounding factor affecting intestinal bloodflow. And infants with delayed initiation or slow advancement of feeding exhibited characteristic intestinal perfusion. In VLBWI, early SMA ultrasound shows the potential to predict NEC. It is reasonable to speculate that SMA bloodstream is related to intestinal structural and functional integrity.