Prediction of macrotrabecular-massive hepatocellular carcinoma by using MR-based models and their prognostic implications.

Abstract

To evaluate the efficacy of MRI-based radiomics and clinical models in predicting MTM-HCC. Additionally, to investigate the ability of the radiomics model designed for MTM-HCC identification in predicting disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with HCC. A total of 336 patients who underwent oncological resection for HCC between June 2007 and March 2021 were included. 127 patients in Cohort1 were used for MTM-HCC identification, and 209 patients in Cohort2 for prognostic analyses. Radiomics analysis was performed using volumes of interest of HCC delineated on pre-operative MRI images. Radiomics and clinical models were developed using Random Forest algorithm in Cohort1 and a radiomics probability (RP) of MTM-HCC was obtained from the radiomics model. Based on the RP, patients in Cohort2 were divided into a RAD-MTM-HCC (RAD-M) group and a RAD-non-MTM-HCC (RAD-nM) group. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were employed to identify the independent predictors for DFS of patients in Cohort2. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to compare the DFS between different groups pf patients based on the predictors. The radiomics model for identifying MTM-HCC showed AUCs of 0.916 (95% CI: 0.858-0.960) and 0.833 (95% CI: 0.675-0.935), and the clinical model showed AUCs of 0.760 (95% CI: 0.669-0.836) and 0.704 (95% CI: 0.532-0.843) in the respective training and validation sets. Furthermore, the radiomics biomarker RP, portal or hepatic vein tumor thrombus, irregular rim-like arterial phase hyperenhancement (IRE) and AFP were independent predictors of DFS in patients with HCC. The DFS of RAD-nM group was significantly higher than that of the RAD-M group (p < .001). MR-based clinical and radiomic models have the potential to accurately diagnose MTM-HCC. Moreover, the radiomics signature designed to identify MTM-HCC also can be used to predict prognosis in patients with HCC, realizing the diagnostic and prognostic aims at the same time.