Prediction of long-term outcomes by arterial stiffness and pressure wave reflections in patients with acute stroke: the Athens Stroke Registry.

Abstract

Stroke patients' management might be improved by addressing the role of aortic stiffness (carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity: cfPWV) and pressure wave reflections (PWRs, augmentation index: AIx) in their pathogenesis and outcome. We tested the hypothesis that cfPWV and AIx, separately and combined, predict long-term outcomes [all-cause mortality, incidence of cardiovascular events, stroke recurrence and disability defined by modified Ranking Scale (mRS) ≥3] in patients with acute stroke, using data from the 'Athens Stroke Registry'. Data from 552 patients (70% men, age: 66.1 ± 10.4 years, 13.4% deaths from any cause, 21.2% cardiovascular events, 14.1% stroke recurrences and 20.1% poor mRS, mean follow-up 68.4 ± 41.4 months) were analyzed. The main findings were that: high aortic stiffness (cfPWV > 13 m/s) alone is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular (CV) events, but not of stroke recurrence and poor functional outcome; evaluated separately from aortic stiffness, neither low nor high PWRs have any prognostic value; even after multiple adjustments, patients with both high aortic stiffness (cfPWV > 13 m/s) and low PWRs (Aix < 22%) have almost two-fold higher hazard ratio, not only for all-cause mortality and CV events but also for stroke recurrence and poor functional outcome. The present study provides evidence about the role of aortic stiffness, PWRs and their combined incremental value in the long-term survival, morbidity, and functional disability after acute stroke.