Abstract

Crop cultivation prediction is an integral part of agriculture and is primarily based on factors such as soil, environmental features like rainfall and temperature, and the quantum of fertilizer used, particularly nitrogen and phosphorus. These factors, however, vary from region to region: consequently, farmers are unable to cultivate similar crops in every region. This is where machine learning (ML) techniques step in to help find the most suitable crops for a particular region, thus assisting farmers a great deal in crop prediction. The feature selection (FS) facet of ML is a major component in the selection of key features for a particular region and keeps the crop prediction process constantly upgraded. This work proposes a novel FS approach called modified recursive feature elimination (MRFE) to select appropriate features from a data set for crop prediction. The proposed MRFE technique selects and ranks salient features using a ranking method. The experimental results show that the MRFE method selects the most accurate features, while the bagging technique helps accurately predict a suitable crop. The performance of proposed MRFE technique is evaluated by various metrics such as accuracy (ACC), precision, recall, specificity, F1 score, area under the curve, mean absolute error, and log loss. From the performance analysis, it is justified that the MRFE technique performs well with 95% ACC than other FS methods.

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