Abstract
BackgroundDiagnosis of preterm labour is difficult because initial symptoms and signs are often mild and may occur in continuing pregnancies. This study aims to investigate the utility of measuring cervical length, using transvaginal ultrasound, in women presenting to the delivery suite with symptoms of preterm labour.MethodsThis was a prospective cohort study performed in KK Women’s and Children’s Hospital, Singapore from September 2017 to July 2018. Women with singleton pregnancies, presenting with symptoms of contraction pain, between 24+ 0 to 36+ 6 weeks gestation, were included. Transvaginal ultrasound cervical length measurements were done at presentation to the labour ward, after four hours and in the following morning. The primary outcome of the study was delivery within 1 week. All statistical analyses were conducted with Microsoft Excel and Statistical Package for the Social Sciences.ResultsA total of 95 subjects were included. A one-millimeter increase in the 1st cervical length increases scan-to-delivery time by 0.802 days (p-value 0.003, CI 0.280–1.323). Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for prediction of delivery within 1 week showed an Area Under Curve (AUC) of 0.667, optimal cut-off value of 27.5mm (sensitivity 77.8 %, specificity 61.6 %). A one-millimetre increase in the 3rd cervical length increases scan-to-delivery time by 0.770 days (p-value 0.023, CI 0.108–1.432). ROC curve analysis for prediction of delivery within 1 week showed an AUC of 0.915, optimal cut-off value of 25.5mm (sensitivity 100 %, specificity 73.6 %). However, the change in cervical length over a period of 1 day was not significant in predicting delivery within 1 week.ConclusionsOur results indicate that by using a cervical length cut off of 27.5mm at presentation, we would have predicted 77.8 % of deliveries within 1 week. If we were to repeat the cervical length scan the next day, with the same cut-off of 27.5mm, we would have predicted 100 % of deliveries within 1 week. In our study, measuring the transvaginal ultrasound cervical length is a reliable diagnostic test for delivery within 1 week. However, the results are limited by the small sample size. Further studies should be conducted with a larger sample size.
Highlights
Diagnosis of labour onset is difficult because initial symptoms and signs are often mild and may occur in continuing pregnancies [2]
This study aims to investigate the utility of measuring cervical length, using transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS), in women presenting with symptoms of preterm labour (PTL)
The traditional presentation of preterm labour are most diagnostic when contraction frequency is six or more per hour, cervical dilatation is 3 cm or more, effacement is 80 % or more, membranes rupture, or when bleeding occurs [2, 7, 8]
Summary
Diagnosis of preterm labour is difficult because initial symptoms and signs are often mild and may occur in continuing pregnancies. This study aims to investigate the utility of measuring cervical length, using transvaginal ultrasound, in women presenting to the delivery suite with symptoms of preterm labour. The estimated global preterm birth rate for 2014 was 10.6 %, equating to an estimated 14.84 million live preterm births [1]. It is the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality in most countries. Diagnosis of labour onset is difficult because initial symptoms and signs are often mild and may occur in continuing pregnancies [2]. There is not enough high-quality research to show if knowledge of cervical length in women has any effect [4]
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