Abstract

ABSTRACT Prediction of the hydrocarbon pore volume with uncertainties provide important support for decisions concerning development of petroleum reservoirs. A stochastic modelling approach is used to obtain improved predictions and uncertainties. Spatial aspects and qualified guesses from the user is included in the model. Consistency with existing wells is ensured. A case-study is presented. The .92 confidence interval is found to be approximately 95% of the average value with one well present and approximately 24% of the average with eight wells present.

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