Prediction of Hepatic Encephalopathy After Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Based on CT Radiomic Features of Visceral Adipose Tissue

Abstract

To evaluate the performance and clinical utility of CT radiomic features of visceral adipose tissue (VAT) in the prediction of hepatic encephalopathy (HE) after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). This multi-center study was retrospectively designed. Patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS were recruited from January 2015 to December 2020. Pre-TIPS contrast-enhanced CT images were collected for VAT segmentation and radiomic feature extraction. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression with ten-fold cross-validation was performed to reduce dimension. Logistic regression with regularization, support vector machine, and random forest were used for model construction. A total of 130 patients (90 men; mean age, 54±11 years) were finally enrolled. The cohort was split into 85 patients for the training set (58 men; mean age, 53±12 years) with 19 HE, 21 patients for the internal test set (17 men; mean age, 53±11 years) with 5 HE, and 24 patients for the external test set (15 men; mean age, 55±11 years). Ten radiomic features and C-reactive protein constituted radiomic-clinical models with the best performance. The average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve is 0.97 in the training set and 0.84 in the test sets. For a fixed sensitivity of 0.90, the specificity and negative predictive value of the model is 0.63 and 1.00, respectively; while for a fixed specificity of 0.90, the sensitivity and positive predictive value is 0.60 and 0.75, respectively. Machine learning models based on CT radiomic features extracted from VAT can predict post-TIPS HE with satisfactory performance. Our machine learning models based on CT radiomic features of visceral adipose tissue in patients with cirrhosis may assist in predicting hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt, indicating its potential in patient selection and clinical decision-making. Radiomics of visceral adipose tissue provide great help in predicting hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt. The clinical-radiomic models showed satisfactory performance with an average area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.84. The model can hypothetically provide 90% sensitivity and 100% negative predictive value for guiding patients who are considering transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt.