Prediction method of cigarette draw resistance based on correlation analysis

Abstract

The cigarette draw resistance monitoring method is incomplete and single, and the lacks correlation analysis and preventive modeling, resulting in substandard cigarettes in the market. To address this problem without increasing the hardware cost, in this paper, multi-indicator correlation analysis is used to predict cigarette draw resistance. First, the monitoring process of draw resistance is analyzed based on the existing quality control framework, and optimization ideas are proposed. In addition, for the three production units, the cut tobacco supply (VE), the tobacco rolling (SE), and the cigarette-forming (MAX), direct and potential factors associated with draw resistance are explored, based on the linear and non-linear correlation analysis. Then, the correlates of draw resistance are used as inputs for the machine learning model, and the predicted values of draw resistance are used as outputs. Finally, this research also innovatively verifies the practical application value of draw resistance prediction: the distribution characteristics of substandard cigarettes are analyzed based on the prediction results, the time interval of substandard cigarettes being produced is determined, the probability model of substandard cigarettes being sampled is derived, and the reliability of the prediction result is further verified by the example. The results show that the prediction model based on correlation analysis has good performance in three months of actual production.