Prediction method for response characteristics parameters of isolated-span overhead lines after ice-shedding based on finite element simulation and machine learning

Abstract

In response to the problem of insufficient research on the prediction for response characteristics parameters of isolated-span transmission lines under various ice-shedding modes, study on the prediction for ice-shedding response parameters of isolated-span overhead lines is conducted in this paper based on finite element simulation and machine learning. Firstly, the finite element simulation model of isolated-span overhead line is established and verified. Seven model input parameters are determined by considering 12 typical ice-shedding modes and ice-shedding labels are introduced. Six key output parameters reflecting the electrical and mechanical characteristics of the ice-shedding transmission line are obtained by feature extraction. Secondly, the output parameters of the ice-shedding transmission line under different input parameter conditions are obtained by using the finite element simulation method. A total of 1400 sets sample data are constructed. Then, four typical regression prediction models of BP (Back Propagation Algorithm), RBF (Radial Basis Function Algorithm), SVM (Support Vector Machine Algorithm) and RF (Random Forest Algorithm) are established to predict the key output parameters of ice-shedding transmission lines. Finally, the optimal prediction model for ice-shedding response characteristics parameters of isolated-span transmission lines is selected and the application effect is analyzed by actual ice-shedding case. It is found that the RF prediction model is the optimal prediction model among the four regression prediction models. The prediction method for ice-shedding response characteristics parameters of isolated-span transmission line proposed in this paper can accurately predict the response characteristics parameters of ice-shedding transmission lines which can provide some references for the safe operation of isolated-span transmission lines in heavy ice areas.