Abstract

Problem statement: The five basic axioms of Kolmogorov define the probability in the real set of numbers and do not take into consideration the imaginary part which takes place in the complex set of numbers, a problem that we are facing in many engineering systems. Approach: Evaluate the complex probabilities by considering supplementary new imaginary dimensions to the event occurring in the "real" laboratory. The Kolmogorov's system of axioms can be extended to encompass the imaginary set of numbers and this by adding to the original five axioms of Kolmogorov an additional three axioms. Hence, any experiment can thus be executed in what is now the complex set C which is the sum of the real set R with its corresponding real probability and the imaginary set M with its corresponding imaginary probability. Results: Whatever the probability distribution of the random variable in R is, the corresponding probability in the whole set C is always one, so the outcome of the random experiment in C can be predicted totally. Conclusion: The result indicated that, the chance and luck in R is replaced now by total determinism in C. This is the consequence of the fact that the probability in C is got by subtracting the chaotic factor from the degree of our knowledge of the system.

Highlights

  • Original Kolmogorov’s set of axioms: The simplicity of Kolmogorov’s system of axioms may be surprising

  • If A and B have no elements in common, the number assigned to their union is Prob (A∪B) = Prob (A) + Prob (B); we say that A and B are disjoint; Otherwise, we have Prob (A ∪ B) = Prob (A) + Prob (B) – Prob (A∩B)

  • We can conclude that (Fig. 1): Pc2 = Degree of our knowledge of the system-chaotic factor = 1 Pc = 1. This means that if we succeed to eliminate the chaotic factor in an experiment, the output will always be with the probability = 1, (Gleick, 1997; Orluc and Herve, 2005; Ducrocq and Warusfel, 2004)

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

Original Kolmogorov’s set of axioms: The simplicity of Kolmogorov’s system of axioms may be surprising. We say that Prob (A ∩ B) = Prob (A) × Prob (B|A) = Prob (B) × Prob (A|B) which is the conditional probability. If both A and B are independent, Prob (A ∩ B) = Prob (A) × Prob (B). An example of probability would be the game of coin tossing. Corresponding Author: Abdo Abou Jaoude, Department of Applied Mathematics, Aix-Marseille University, France and the Lebanese University, Lebanon 116. This according to the original Kolmogorov’s set of axioms

ADDING THE IMAGINARY PART M
ROLE OF THE IMAGINARY PART
THE CHAOTIC FACTOR CHF
THE DEVELOPMENT OF TWO STATISTICAL DISTRIBUTIONS
NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS
CONCLUSION
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