Prediction for underground seismic intensity measures using conditional generative adversarial networks

Abstract

With the escalating development and utilization of subterranean spaces, the seismic hazards faced by underground structures are progressively increasing. However, owing to the challenges associated with acquiring underground seismic data and historical seismic design norms, pertinent regulations and research in this domain are scarce. This study focused on three crucial intensity measures in the seismic design process of underground structures peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV), and peak ground displacement (PGD). The research leverages seismic data obtained from the California Strong Motion Instrumentation Program (CSMIP) to train and evaluate a conditional generative adversarial network (CGAN) model. This model was employed to establish a multivariate joint conditional probability distribution among the intensity measures at varying depths, facilitating the stochastic prediction of shallow intensity measures. In contrast to empirical formulas, the CGAN model eliminates the need for a predefined equation structure and enables the simultaneous prediction of multiple intensity measures. The performance of the model was evaluated by comparing the predictive accuracy of the CGAN model and empirical fitting formulas across diverse site conditions and depth intervals using metrics such as relative error coefficients. It can be concluded that the proposed CGAN model can accurately predict shallow seismic intensity measures, and the predictions conform to a specific conditional distribution while retaining the stochastic nature of seismic motion. Compared with empirical formula models, the CGAN model exhibited an enhanced predictive capability.