Predicting ventilator-associated pneumonia in elderly patients requiring mechanical ventilation through the detection in tracheal aspirates

Abstract

ABSTRACT Objective In this study, we evaluated the clinical utility of tracheal aspirates α-amylase (AM), pepsin, and lipid-laden macrophage index (LLMI) in the early diagnosis of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP) in elderly patients on mechanical ventilation. Methods Within 96 hours of tracheal intubation, tracheal aspirate specimens were collected from elderly patients on mechanical ventilation; AM, pepsin, and LLMI were detected, and we analyzed the potential of each index individually and in combination in diagnosing VAP. Results Patients with VAP had significantly higher levels of AM, pepsin, and LLMI compared to those without VAP (P < 0.001), and there was a positive correlation between the number of pre-intubation risk factors of aspiration and the detection value of each index in patients with VAP (P < 0.001). The area under a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of AM, pepsin, and LLMI in diagnosis of VAP were 0.821 (95% CI:0.713–0.904), 0.802 (95% CI:0.693–0.892), and 0.621 (95% CI:0.583–0.824), the sensitivities were 0.8815, 0.7632, and 0.6973, the specificities were 0.8495, 0.8602, and 0.6291, and the cutoff values were 4,321.5 U/L, 126.61 ng/ml, and 173.5, respectively. The AUC for the combination of indexes in diagnosing VAP was 0.905 (95% CI:0.812–0.934), and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.9211 and 0.9332, respectively. In the tracheal aspirate specimens, the detection rate of AM ≥ cutoff was the highest, while it was the lowest for LLMI (P < 0.001). The detection rates of AM ≥ cutoff and pepsin ≥ cutoff were higher within 48 hours after intubation than within 48–96 hours after intubation (P < 0.001). In contrast, the detection rate of LLMI ≥ cutoff was higher within 48–96 hours after intubation than within 48 hours after intubation (P < 0.001). The risk factors for VAP identified using logistic multivariate analysis included pre-intubation aspiration risk factors (≥3), MDR bacteria growth in tracheal aspirates, and tracheal aspirate AM ≥ 4,321.5 U/L, pepsin ≥ 126.61 ng/ml, and LLMI ≥ 173.5. Conclusion The detection of AM, pepsin, and LLMI in tracheal aspirates has promising clinical utility as an early warning biomarker of VAP in elderly patients undergoing mechanical ventilation.