Predicting the Need for Step-Up Therapy After EUS-Guided Drainage of Pancreatic Fluid Collections With Lumen-Apposing Metal Stents

Abstract

A significant proportion of individuals with pancreatic fluid collections (PFCs) require step-up therapy after endoscopic drainage with lumen-apposing metal stents. The aim of this study is to identify factors associated with PFCs that require step-up therapy. A retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing endoscopic ultrasound-guided drainage of PFCs with lumen-apposing metal stents from April 2014 to October 2019 at a single center was performed. Step-up therapy included direct endoscopic necrosectomy, additional drainage site (endoscopic or percutaneous), or surgical intervention after the initial drainage procedure. Multivariable logistic regression was performed using a backward stepwise approach with a P ≤.2 threshold for variable retention to identify factors predictive for the need for step-up therapy. One hundred thirty-six patients were included in the final study cohort, of whom 69 (50.7%) required step-up therapy. Independent predictors of step-up therapy included: collection size measuring ≥10 cm (odds ratio [OR], 8.91; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.36-23.61), paracolic extension of the PFC (OR, 4.04; 95% CI, 1.60-10.23), and ≥30% solid necrosis (OR, 4.24; 95% CI, 1.48-12.16). In a sensitivity analysis of 81 patients with walled-off necrosis, 51 (63.0%) required step-up therapy. Similarly, factors predictive of the need for step-up therapy for walled-off necrosis included: collection size measuring ≥10 cm (OR, 6.94; 95% CI, 1.76-27.45), paracolic extension of the PFC (OR, 3.79; 95% CI, 1.18-12.14), and ≥30% solid necrosis (OR, 7.10; 95% CI, 1.16-43.48). Half of all patients with PFCs drained with lumen-apposing metal stents required step-up therapy, most commonly direct endoscopic necrosectomy. Individuals with PFCs ≥10 cm in size, paracolic extension, or ≥30% solid necrosis are more likely to require step-up therapy and should be considered for early endoscopic reintervention.