Predicting Outcomes in Hospitalized Patients With Acute Severe Ulcerative Colitis in a Prospective Multicenter Cohort.

Abstract

Acute severe ulcerative colitis (UC) (ASUC) requiring hospitalization affects up to 1 in 4 patients with UC. There is a paucity of prospective and multicenter clinical cohorts to study treatment trends and predictors of disease outcomes. Here, we conduct a US-based multicenter prospective clinical cohort of ASUC to study predictors of the need for medical rescue therapy and colectomy. A total of 94 patients hospitalized for ASUC were included across 5 academic centers from December 2018 to December 2021. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected throughout the hospitalization. Patients were followed up to 1-year post-hospitalization to identify predictors of the need for rescue therapy and colectomy. A total of 21 (22.3%) patients required colectomy within 1 year of admission with 11 (12%) requiring colectomy during the index admission. On multivariate analyses, a BMI < 21.5kg/m2 (OR = 6.16, P = .02), a simple clinical colitis activity index (SCCAI) greater than 8 (OR = 14.44, P = .01) and an albumin level at admission lower than 2.4g/dL (OR = 10.61, P = .04) were significant predictors of inpatient colectomy after adjusting for sex, age, and duration of disease. In a prospective, multicenter cohort of patients hospitalized with ASUC, BMI, SCCAI, and albumin at admission were important determinants of colectomy risk during the index hospitalization and within 1 year of admission. Colectomy rates remain high-22.3% in this cohort across 5 academic, tertiary care centers-underscoring the need to identify the highest-risk patients, establish novel treatment and care paradigms, and examine opportunities to standardize care.