Predicting Ki-67 labeling index level in early-stage lung adenocarcinomas manifesting as ground-glass opacity nodules using intra-nodular and peri-nodular radiomic features.

Abstract

To explore the diagnostic value of radiomics in differentiating between lung adenocarcinomas appearing as ground-glass opacity nodules (GGO) with high- and low Ki-67 expression levels. From January 2018 to January 2021, patients with pulmonary GGO who received lung resection were evaluated for potential enrollment. The included GGOs were then randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort with a ratio of 7:3. Logistic regression (LR), decision tree (DT), support vector machines (SVM), and adaboost (AB) were applied for radiomic model construction. Area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of the established models. Seven hundred and sixty-nine patients with 769 GGOs were included in this study. Two hundred and forty-five GGOs were confirmed to be of high Ki-67 labeling index (LI). In the training cohort, gender, age, spiculation sign, pleural indentation sign, bubble sign, and maximum 2D diameter of the nodule were found to be significantly different between high- and low Ki-67 LI groups (p < 0.05), and spiculation sign and maximum 2D diameter of the nodule were further confirmed to be risk factors for Ki-67 LI. The radiomic model established using SVM exhibited an AUC of 0.731 in the validation cohort, which was higher than that of the clinical-radiographic model (AUC=0.675). Moreover, radiomic model combining both intra- and peri-nodular features showed better diagnostic efficacy than using intra-nodular features alone (AUC=0.731 and 0.720, respectively). The established radiomic model exhibited good diagnostic efficacy in differentiating between lung adenocarcinoma GGOs with high and low Ki-67 LI, which was higher than the clinical-radiographic model. Peri-nodular radiomic features showed added benefits to the radiomic model. As a novel noninvasive method, radiomics have the potential to be applied in the preliminary classification of Ki-67 expression level in lung adenocarcinoma GGOs.