Predicting Fine-Grained Air Quality Based on Deep Neural Networks

Abstract

Nowadays, many cities are suffering from air pollution problems, which endangered the health of the young and elderly for breathing problems. For supporting the government’s policy-making and people’s decision making, it is important to predict future fine-grained air quality. In this article, we predict the air quality of the next 48 hours for each monitoring station and the daily average air quality of the next 7 days for a city, considering air quality data, meteorology data, and weather forecast data. Based on the domain knowledge about air pollution, we propose a deep neural network based approach, entitled DeepAir. Our approach consists of a deep distributed fusion network for station-level short-term prediction and a deep cascaded fusion network for the city-level long-term forecast. With the data transformation preprocessing, the former network adopts a neural distributed architecture to fuse heterogeneous urban data for simultaneously capturing the direct and indirect factors affecting air quality. The latter network takes a neural cascaded architecture to learn the dynamic influences from previously existing data and future predicted data on future air quality. We have deployed a real-time system on the cloud, providing fine-grained air quality forecasts for 300+ Chinese cities every hour. Our system mainly consists of three components: data crawler, task scheduler, and prediction model, which are implemented with a multi-task architecture to improve the system’s efficiency and stability. Based on the datasets from three-year nine Chinese cities, experimental results demonstrate the advantages of our proposed method.