Abstract

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) tends to metastasize to the brain. Between 10 and 60% of NSCLCs harbor an activating mutation in the epidermal growth-factor receptor (EGFR), which may be targeted with selective EGFR inhibitors. However, due to a high discordance rate between the molecular profile of the primary tumor and the brain metastases (BMs), identifying an individual patient's EGFR status of the BMs necessitates tissue diagnosis via an invasive surgical procedure. We employed a deep learning (DL) method with the aim of noninvasive detection of the EGFR mutation status in NSCLC BM. We retrospectively collected clinical, radiological, and pathological-molecular data of all the NSCLC patients who had been diagnosed with BMs and underwent resection of their BM during 2009-2019. The study population was then divided into two groups based upon EGFR mutational status. We further employed a DL technique to classify the two groups according to their preoperative magnetic resonance imaging features. Augmentation techniques, transfer learning approach, and post-processing of the predicted results were applied to overcome the relatively small cohort. Finally, we established the accuracy of our model in predicting EGFR mutation status of BM of NSCLC. Fifty-nine patients were included in the study, 16 patients harbored EGFR mutations. Our model predicted mutational status with mean accuracy of 89.8%, sensitivity of 68.7%, specificity of 97.7%, and a receiver operating characteristic curve value of 0.91 across the 5 validation datasets. DL-based noninvasive molecular characterization is feasible, has high accuracy and should be further validated in large prospective cohorts.

Highlights

  • Lung cancer is the most commonly diagnosed type of cancer and the leading cause for cancer-associated mortality worldwide, with an incidence of 2.1 million new cases each year [1]

  • The best classification results were obtained by using the median metric for the post-processing of the predicted results, with an overall accuracy of 89.8%, a sensitivity of 68.7%, and a specificity of 97.7% for the detection of a positive epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation status

  • While the specificity of all post-processing methods was same (97.7%), both best performing methods achieved better sensitivity (68.7%), indicating that some slices were more informative than others in the EGFR mutation status prediction task

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Summary

Introduction

Lung cancer is the most commonly diagnosed type of cancer and the leading cause for cancer-associated mortality worldwide, with an incidence of 2.1 million new cases each year [1]. Brain metastases (BMs) are the most common intracranial neoplasm, and lung cancer is their main source [3]. Between 10-50% of NSCLC metastasize to the brain, depending upon characteristics of the primary tumor such as stage, molecular profile, and previous oncological treatments [4, 5]. Patients with BMs were considered to have a very poor prognosis, with a median survival rate of 1-3 months [6]. Recent progress in this field has led to much improvement in survival in selected cases amenable to the new generation therapies [6]

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