Predicting adult emergence of Dakota skipper and Poweshiek skipperling (Lepidoptera: Hesperiidae) in Canada

Abstract

Dakota skipper (Hesperia dacotae Skinner) and Poweshiek skipperling (Oarisma poweshiek Parker) (Lepidoptera: Hesperiidae) are endemic prairie species that are threatened in Canada. Surveys during the brief adult flight period are necessary to quantify population sizes, but dates of adult emergence vary widely from year to year (up to 24 days) and populations are geographically distant from one another (150–250 km). To predict adult emergence of H. dacotae and O. poweshiek, we used local weather station data to calculate the number of degree days accumulated between March 1 and adult emergence using two different models in seven different years between 2002 and 2013. We also compared the number of degree days accumulated at the soil surface where larvae and pupae reside to those accumulated using weather station data. We recommend that surveys for Dakota skipper begin when degree day accumulations (from weather stations) reach a threshold of 575 (standard model) or 600 (double sine model) in the south central portion of Manitoba and 550 (standard model) or 575 (double sine model) in the southwest region of Manitoba. For Poweshiek skipperling surveys should be considered after degree day accumulations reach 575 (standard model) or 625 (double sine model). Degree days accumulated at the soil surface were 20–30 % greater than those calculated using weather station data in Dakota skipper sites, and 1–12 % greater in Poweshiek skipperling sites. Using our models, we predicted adult emergence to within 48 h of emergence in 2011, 2012 and 2013.