Abstract

Sea salt injection into the tropical marine clouds is evaluated for its potentials to reduce the negative impact of the prevailing global warming over West Africa. Radiative forcing is determined as the intercept of the regression of response of radiation parameter to that of surface air temperature. The seasonal responses of temperature and precipitation to geoengineering over West Africa are analysed using temperature and precipitation outputs from IPSL-M5A-LR with three different forcing scenarios. The three scenarios are historical greenhouse gas concentrations, Representative Concentration Pathway 4.5 W/m2 scenario (RCP4.5) and combination of RCP4.5 and geoengineering forcing (sea salt climate engineering, G5). 20-year means in the middle of G5 (2045–2064) are considered for the future period, and the historical climatology from 1986 to 2005 is used. Net downward flux and top of atmosphere outgoing shortwave radiation have negative forcing only at the western Sahel. The G5 reduces the warming in the RCP4.5 scenario over the whole of West Africa. It also shifts ITCZ northward with respect to RCP4.5, thereby increasing wetness over most of the land areas. The areas with wetness response have anomalous westerly with respect to RCP 4.5 and latitudinal location below anomalous easterly wind. Results show that G5 is effective in reducing the RCP4.5 projected warming up to 1.2 K and increasing wetness over most land areas. The G5 has a damaging effect on the temperature pattern at the southern ocean and coastal areas, while it has damaging effect on precipitation patterns at some parts of the Sahel.

Highlights

  • Global warming is a planetary problem felt on local scales that will be around for years to come

  • The western Sahel (WS) is closer to the ocean, where the sea salt injection is applied, than the other temperature regions, and that is why the G5 shows the expected effect of net downward radiation reduction there

  • In the dry season, warming is projected by the RCP 4.5 scenario all over West Africa when compared to the historical climatology (Fig. 3a)

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Summary

Introduction

Global warming is a planetary problem felt on local scales that will be around for years to come. Regardless of the increasing awareness of global warming, greenhouse gases are continuously being emitted all over the world and are causing series of unparalleled environmental issues [1]. Such environmental issues include rising sea levels and more frequent and severe heat waves, drought and flooding, to mention a few [1]. Over the last fifty years, West Africa temperatures have increased, in line with an increase in global temperatures [2]. It has been observed that over the past fifty years, frequency in extreme rainfall has increased and is likely to continue to increase in the future [3].

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