Abstract

Algorithmic trading allows investors to avoid emotional and irrational trading decisions and helps them make profits using modern computer technology. In recent years, reinforcement learning has yielded promising results for algorithmic trading. Two prominent challenges in algorithmic trading with reinforcement learning are (1) extracting robust features and (2) learning a profitable trading policy. Another challenge is that it was previously often assumed that both long and short positions are always possible in stock trading; however, taking a short position is risky or sometimes impossible in practice. We propose a practical algorithmic trading method, SIRL-Trader , which achieves good profit using only long positions. SIRL-Trader uses offline/online state representation learning (SRL) and imitative reinforcement learning. In offline SRL, we apply dimensionality reduction and clustering to extract robust features whereas, in online SRL, we co-train a regression model with a reinforcement learning model to provide accurate state information for decision-making. In imitative reinforcement learning, we incorporate a behavior cloning technique with the twin-delayed deep deterministic policy gradient (TD3) algorithm and apply multistep learning and dynamic delay to TD3. The experimental results show that SIRL-Trader yields higher profits and offers superior generalization ability compared with state-of-the-art methods.

Highlights

  • Algorithmic trading, which enables investors to trade stocks without human intervention, has started playing an important role in modern stock markets

  • Two prominent challenges presented by algorithmic trading with reinforcement learning are (1) extracting robust features and (2) learning a profitable trading policy

  • ARCHITECTURE We propose an actor-critic reinforcement learning method that extends TD3 to incorporate offline/online state representation learning (SRL), imitation learning, multistep learning, and dynamic delay

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Summary

Introduction

Algorithmic trading, which enables investors to trade stocks without human intervention, has started playing an important role in modern stock markets. Two prominent challenges presented by algorithmic trading with reinforcement learning are (1) extracting robust features and (2) learning a profitable trading policy To accommodate these challenges, recent methods [1]–[6] use deep reinforcement learning and deliver good performance in terms of profitability. The environment provides a state s to the agent, the agent selects and takes an action a, and the environment provides a reward r and the state s This interaction can be formalized as a Markov decision process (MDP), which is a tuple S, A, P, R, γ , where S is a finite set of states, A is a finite set of actions, P (s, a, s ) is a state transition probability, R(s, a) is a reward function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is the discount factor, a trade-off between immediate and long-term rewards. The extended model is referred to as the partially observable MDP (POMDP) model [8]

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