Abstract

Hypertensive disorders in pregnancy, including Pregnancy Induced Hypertension (PIH), are important causes of morbidity and mortality in pregnancy. Identifying women at high risk will allow for early management to reduce complications of PIH. The objectives were to determine the incidence of PIH among pregnant women and develop risk prediction models for early detection of women at increased risk of PIH. A longitudinal cohort study involving 2539 pregnant women attending antenatal clinic in the Greater Accra region of Ghana was conducted between February and May 2010. The outcome, PIH, was defined as systolic or diastolic blood pressure BP of 140mmHg or 90mmHg respectively. Logistic regression was used to derive the prediction models and bootstrapping technique was used to internally validate them. A score chart was used to classify pregnant women into low, moderate and high risk of developing PIH. The incidence of PIH was 8.0% (95% C.I: 7.98-8.02%) and 10.9% (95% C.I:10.89-10.91%) in nulliparous and multiparous women respectively. Systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, history of hypertension in parents, family history of diabetes, proteinuria, body mass index (BMI) were among independent predictors in early pregnancy of subsequent PIH. The prognostic performance, estimated by the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, ranged between 0.64 and 0.84 for the models for nulliparous and multiparous. Using a limited set of maternal characteristics, pregnant women at increased risk of developing PIH can be identified. Categorizing women by risk of PIH and providing tailored antenatal care will minimize complications of PIH.

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