Power to Detect Trends in Marbled Murrelet Breeding Populations Using Audiovisual and Radar Surveys

Abstract

Abstract Weused pilot data collected in 2001–2004 to compare the power of radar and audiovisual survey approaches to detect trends in breeding population size and differences in trends between populations of marbled murrelets (Brachyramphus marmoratus) in northwestern California. Radar counts of murrelets were almost triple in inland Reserves than in Conservation Areas, and audiovisual counts were 7 times greater. Variation in counts was statistically significant among survey sites but not among years. Although annual variation in radar counts was not statistically significant (P = 0.13), mean radar counts more than tripled from 2001 to 2002, a difference that we considered to be biologically significant, and the radar counts reflected a large increase in the proportion of breeders between these 2 years as determined by radiotelemetry in another study (Acord et al. 2004). Audiovisual counts were much more variable than radar counts overall (CV = 1.10 versus 0.41) and within survey sites (CV = 0.94 versus ...