Power system transformation in emerging countries: A SWOT/PESTLE analysis approach towards resiliency and reliability

Abstract

Most developing countries' electric power system is stressed by an unprecedented demand growth as well as obstacles that call for urgent actions. Therefore, tackling the present-day power-related challenges and ensure dependable and safe electricity may result in improving living conditions. This research aims to comprehend the primary factors that impede power companies in emerging economies and propose ways of addressing them with a focus on Togolese electricity system as a case study., The methodology utilized to study a complex and dynamic system like electricity sector is an integrated model composed of a survey and review of available literature, an interview with energy experts and the SWOT/PESTLE analysis to perform an in-depth and all-encompassing analysis. The study revealed that the electrification poverty was 39.47 % at countrywide level that requires an additional power of 220.95 MW to that of 2021 to achieve 100 % of electricity access by 2030. Moreover, the system's performance is hindered by a number of internal and external bottlenecks. They include but not limited to limitations in policies and regulations; technical difficulties in the transmission, distribution and off-grid subsystems; insufficient investments; and a lack of incentives and taxes rebates. In light of these findings, a model prioritizing a resilient power system was proposed for transforming the outdated power infrastructure in developing countries laying stress upon energy mix planning, transmission and distribution subsectors innovation and effective regional collaboration.