Abstract

Due to environmental issues such as climate change, companies are required to optimize their resource and energy consumption in their production process. Predicting power consumption and processing time of all production facilities is essential for manufacturing to develop mechanisms to prevent energy and resource waste and optimize their use. Machine learning is a powerful tool for prediction tasks using data in digitalized environments. In this paper, we present power consumption and processing time prediction of CNC milling machines using five machine learning regression models, i.e., decision tree, random forest, support vector regression (SVR), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and artificial neural network (ANN). Since most of those models are black-box, we applied two explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) approaches, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), to give post-hoc explanations of the predictions given by the machine learning models. Our experiments indicated that random forest regression performed the best in predicting power consumption and processing time. The explanation showed that the number of axis rotations and the number of travels to the machine's zero point in rapid traverse were the most important factors that affected the processing time and power consumption. The companies using CNC milling machines can use our prediction models to optimally plan and schedule the operation of the milling machines in a time and energy-efficient manner. They can also optimize the factors that affect power consumption and processing time the most.

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