Potreba za navodnjavanjem kukuruza na zemunskom černozemu u poslednjih pola veka

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to examine the water regime of chernozem under maize crops in the last half century (1966-2019) and to determine whether during that period and to what extent, there was an increase or decrease in maize irrigation requirements. The mathematical plant model FAO CROPWAT 8.0 was used for the calculation. The calculation was performed on the basis of monthly values of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) for the period 1966-2019, calculated by the modified Hargreaves method, daily values of precipitation from the meteorological station Surcin, data on the selected plant, which are in accordance with FAO56. The soil is chernozem on the Zemun les terrace. The analysis was performed by dividing the research period into three subperiods: the first twenty (1966-1985), the second twenty (1986-2005) and the last fourteen (2006-2019) years. It was found that the average values of potential evapotranspiration of maize were increasing, starting from the first (500mm) to the third (562mm) subperiod, while the average values of actual evapotranspiration, as well as the average amount of effective precipitation in the vegetation period of maize, decreased. Consequently, the average water deficit, i.e. maize irrigation requirements was increased by 56%, starting from the first (205mm) to the third (319mm) subperiod of the research. The increase in the water deficit also caused an increase in the projected reduction in maize yield related to its genetic capasity, which averaged 31% in the first subperiod and 47% in the third. Analysis of the results on a monthly and decadal level showed that maize irrigation requirements lasts from June to August, with a maximum in the second decade of July. In all three summer months, an increase in maize irrigation requirements was registered from the first to the third subperiod of the research, with the maximum increase during July. The conducted research, which generally gives an insight into the state of the water regime of Zemun chernozem in the last half century, shows that the conditions of maize production in the natural rain regime are deteriorating and that the irrigation requirement is increasing.