POTENTIAL IMPACT OF THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE NEW GREEN DEAL IN THE FIELD OF MINERAL FERTILIZATION ON THE YIELD OF MAIN AGRICULTURAL CROPS

Abstract

The aim of the article is to estimate the impact of reducing the consumption of mineral fertilizers resulting from the New Green Deal assumptions on the yields of major crops in the 2030 perspective. The material for analysis was statistical data from the CSO and FAO. The collected data was processed dynamically by using trend analyzes and Pearson linear correlation. Maintaining the current trend of increasing the dose of NPK mineral fertilization will allow the use of crop production potential in Poland. On the other hand, the introduction of the NGD assumptions may result in a stagnation of crop yield at the current level. However, in relation to the scenario assuming the continuation of the current upward trend, these yields will be much lower. Reducing mineral fertilization introduced by means of an administrative decision without taking the principles of rational management of fertilizer components into consideration may have negative environmental consequences.