Abstract

Abstract Background In Germany, four to five million community-dwelling people aged 65 years or older fall every year. The presented potential analysis evaluates the potential of occupational therapy-led physical exercise programs and home environment adaptations to reduce the frequency of falling and as well as intrinsic and extrinsic risk factors for falling of older people living at home. Methods The potential analysis was compiled according to a method guideline (p.11-22) available as follows: http://www.cochrane. de/news/leitfaden-f%C3%BCr-gesundheitsfachberufe-mai-2013. The research question of fall prevention was considered as very relevant for health care and specified according to the PICOS-system. A Cochrane review was systematically searched and the body of evidence was assessed using the GRADE-system. In addition, studies after the search period of the Cochrane review were identified using the search strategy of this review. Both the studies within and after the review were assessed regarding their transferability to the German health care context. Corpus of evidence A Cochrane review from 2012 revealed that occupational therapy-led physical exercise programs reduced the frequency of falling of older people living at home (7 studies, 951 participants, 0.68 RaR; 95%-KI [0.58-0.80]), the number of fallers (6 studies, 714 participants, 0.78 RaR, 95%-KI [0.64-0.94]) and the fractures (6 studies, 810 participants, 0.34 RaR, 95%-KI [0.18-0.63]). Further studies showed that home environment adaptation programs significantly reduced the number of falls (4 studies, 1443 participants, 0.69 RaR, 95%-KI [0.55-0.86]) and the number of fallers (5 studies, 1153 participants, 0.79 RaR, 95%-KI [0.70-0.91]). However, direct implementation into the German healthcare context is not recommendable. Implication for research It is recommended (1) to manualise identified home environment adaptation programmes for the German healthcare context and (2) to pilot-test the physical exercise programmes ‘LiFE’ with regard to theoretical framework, acceptance, applicability and feasibility and to examine both interventions as part of a feasibility study. If this trial results in a feasible treatment programme well accepted by patients and their treating occupational therapists, a large-scaled randomized clinical trial in terms of comparative effectiveness research may follow.

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