Abstract

BackgroundRecently, retrospective registry-based studies have reported the decreasing incidence and increasing mortality of postinjury multiple organ failure (MOF). We aimed to describe the current epidemiology of MOF following the introduction of haemostatic resuscitation.MethodsA 10-year prospective cohort study was undertaken at a Level-1 Trauma Centre-based ending in December 2015. Inclusion criteria age ≥ 16 years, Injury Severity Score (ISS) > 15, Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) Head < 3 and survived > 48 h. Demographics, physiological and shock resuscitation parameters were collected. The primary outcome was MOF defined by a Denver Score > 3. Secondary outcomes: intensive care unit length of stay (ICU LOS), ventilation days and mortality.ResultsThree hundred and forty-seven patients met inclusion criteria (age 48 ± 20; ISS 30 ± 11, 248 (71%) were males and 23 (6.6%) patients died. The 74 (21%) MOF patients (maximum Denver Score: 5.5 ± 1.8; Duration; 5.6 ± 5.8 days) had higher ISS (32 ± 11 versus 29 ± 11) and were older (54 ± 19 versus 46 ± 20 years) than non-MOF patients. Mean daily Denver scores adjusted for age, sex, MOF and ISS did not change over time. Crystalloid usage decreased over the 10-year period (p value < 0.01) and PRBC increased (p value < 0.01). Baseline cumulative incidence of MOF at 28 days was 9% and competing risk analyses showed that incidence of MOF increased over time (subdistribution hazard ratio 1.14, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.23, p value < 0.01). Mortality risk showed no temporal change. ICU LOS increased over time (subdistribution hazard ratio 0.95, 95% CI 0.92 to 0.98, p value < 0.01). Ventilator days increased over time (subdistribution hazard ratio 0.94, 95% CI 0.9 to 0.97, p value < 0.01).ConclusionThe epidemiology of MOF continues to evolve. Our prospective cohort suggests an ageing population with increasing incidence of MOF, particularly in males, with little changes in injury or shock parameters, who are being resuscitated with less crystalloids, stay longer on ICU without improvement in survival.

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