Abstract

Despite improved life expectancy from a heart transplant, transplant recipients remain at high risk for renal dysfunction and failure, including end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The onset of ESKD is a poor prognostic marker and is associated with increased mortality in this setting, as in others. There is a need to identify risk factors for ESKD among heart transplant recipients in contemporary settings. We conducted an analysis of adult heart transplant recipients transplanted between 2008 and 2021 in the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database. 22737 adult recipients of heart transplants alone were included in this analysis. We examined LVEF measured 1 year after transplant, and LVEF updated annually for association with ESKD using multivariate Cox regression models. LVEF at 1-year after transplant was associated with ESKD in multivariate models (Hazard Ratio 1.33 per 10-unit decrease, 95% CI 1.23-1.43, p<.001). In multivariate models using categorized LVEF, mildly reduced ejection fraction (EF 40%-50%) was associated with ESKD (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.45-2.14, p<.001), as was reduced ejection fraction (EF<40%, HR 2.86, 95% CI 2.01-4.07, p<.001), relative to individuals with preserved ejection fraction (EF>50%). These associations were consistent when using annually updated ejection fraction. Post-transplant left ventricular ejection fraction has value in predicting end stage kidney disease among adults who receive heart transplants alone. LVEF is routinely measured as part of contemporary post heart transplant care, and a diminished LVEF should signal to clinicians that a recipient is at increased risk of renal failure.

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