Abstract
The study reported here consisted of estimating earnings and sales (or revenue) surprises either with historical time-series data or with analyst forecasts. Post-earnings-announcement drift was found to be stronger when the revenue surprise was in the same direction as the earnings surprise. This result proved to be robust to various controls, including the proportions of stock held by institutional investors, arbitrage risk, and turnover (prior 60-month average trading volume). This finding is consistent with prior evidence that earnings surprises have a more persistent effect on future earnings growth when they consist of higher revenue surprises than when they consist of lower expense surprises.
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