Abstract
There exist 16 short, middle and long distant ferry routes for transporting trucks between the mainland and Hokkaido. This paper applies the discrete logit model to choice decisions of trucks among ferry routes, and identifies policy factors to shift a ferry rout from the Pacific Ocean side to the Japan Sea side. It used the data of “Ferry Trucks Survey” conducted in 1993 by the Ministry of Transport. The goodness of fit is high enough, but some models do not include full dependent variables such as travel time, cost and frequecy. Sea and land coordinated transport systems and wider use of toll expressways are suggested to shift ferry routes of trucks to the Japan Sea side.
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