Abstract
Current risk assessment approaches fail to identify the majority of patients at risk of sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). Noninvasive imaging of the cardiac sympathetic nervous system using single-photon emission computed tomography and positron emission tomography offers the potential for refining SCA risk assessment. While various [11C]meta-hydroxyephedrine quantification parameters have been proposed, it is currently unknown whether regional denervation or global innervation yields greater SCA risk discrimination. The aim of the study was to determine whether the global innervation parameters yield any independent and additive prognostic value over the regional denervation alone. In a post hoc competing-risks analysis of the PAREPET trial (Prediction of Arrhythmic Events With Positron Emission Tomography), we compared global innervation and regional denervation parameters using the norepinephrine analog [11C]meta-hydroxyephedrine for SCA risk discrimination. Patients with ischemic cardiomyopathy (n=174) eligible for an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator for the primary prevention of SCA were recruited into the trial. [11C]meta-hydroxyephedrine uptake and clearance rates were measured to assess global (left ventricle mean) retention index and volume of distribution. Regional defects were quantified as the percentage of the left ventricle having values <75% of the maximum. During a median follow-up of 4.2 years, there were 56 cardiac-related deaths, of which 26 were SCAs. For any given regional denervation volume, there was substantial heterogeneity in global innervation scores. Global retention index and distribution volume did not decrease until regional defects exceeded 40% left ventricle. Global scale parameters, retention index, and distribution volume (area under the curve=0.61, P=0.034, P=0.046, respectively), yielded inferior SCA risk discrimination compared to regional heterogeneity (area under the curve=0.74). Regional denervation volume has superior cause-specific mortality prediction for SCA versus global parameters of sympathetic innervation. These results have widespread implications for future cardiac sympathetic imaging, which will greatly simplify innervation analysis. Registration: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01400334.
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