Abstract

Background:TNF inhibitors (TNFi) represent an extraordinary advance in the management of Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA). Despite their benefits, there is a percentage of patients (20–40%) that do not achieve clinical improvement. Therefore, it is necessary to search for new and easily accessible biomarkers predictive of therapeutic response that might guide precision medicine.Objectives:1. To explore changes in the molecular profile of RA patients following TNFi therapy in serum samples. 2. To search for new and reliable biomarkers predictive of TNFi response, based on clinical and molecular profiles of RA patients, by using machine learning algorithms.Methods:In a prospective multicenter study, 79 RA patients undergoing TNFi and 29 healthy donors (HD) were enrolled. Twenty-two RA patients were further included as a validation cohort. Serum samples were obtained before and after 6 months of treatment, and therapeutic efficacy was evaluated. Patients’ response was determined following EULAR response criteria. Serum inflammatory profile was analyzed by a multiplex immunoassay, along with oxidative and NETotic profiles, evaluated by commercial kits. A circulating miRNA array was also performed by next-generation sequencing. Clustering analysis was carried out to identify groups of patients with distinctive molecular signatures. Then, clinical and molecular changes induced by TNFi were delineated after 6 months of therapy. Finally, integrative clinical and molecular signatures as predictors of response were assessed at baseline by supervised machine learning methods, using regularized logistic regressions.Results:Inflammatory, oxidative stress and NETosis-derived biomolecules were found altered in RA patients versus HD, closely interconnected and associated with several deregulated miRNAs. This altered molecular profile at baseline allowed the unsupervised division of three clusters of RA patients with distinctive clinical phenotypes, further linked to TNFi effectiveness. Cluster 1 included RA patients with low levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines, associated with a medium-low disease activity score and good clinical response. Clusters 2-3 comprised patients with high levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines, associated with a high disease activity and a non-response rate of 30%.After 6 months of therapy the molecular profile found altered in RA patients was reversed in responder patients, who achieved a molecular phenotype similar to HDs. However, non-responder patients’ molecular profile remained significantly deregulated, including alterations in inflammatory mediators (IL-6, L-8, TNFα, VEGF, IL-1RA, IL-5, IL-15, GMCSF, GCSF, FGFb), oxidative stress markers (LPO) and NETosis-derived products (Elastase), along with specific miRNAs (miR-199a-5p). These molecular changes further correlated with changes in disease activity score. Machine-learning algorithms identified clinical (Creatinine, IgM, Vitamin D, Swollen Joints, C4, Disease Duration and Tryglicerides) and molecular (Nucleosomes, IL-10, miR-106a-5p, IL-13, IL-12p70, IL-15 and LPO) signatures as potential predictors of response to TNFi treatment with high accuracy. Furthermore, the integration of both features in a combined model increased the predictive value of these signatures (AUC: 0.91). These results were further confirmed in an independent validation cohort.Conclusion:1. RA patients display distinctive altered molecular profiles directly linked to their clinical status and associated with TNFi effectiveness. 2. Clinical response was associated with a specific modulation of the inflammatory profile, the reestablishment of the altered oxidative status, the reduction of NETosis and the reversion of related altered miRNAs. 3. The integrative analysis of the clinical and molecular profiles using machine learning allows the identification of novel signatures as potential predictors of therapeutic response to TNFi therapy.Disclosure of Interests:None declared

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