Population structure of Japanese Spanish mackerel Scomberomorus niphonius in the Bohai Sea, the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea: evidence from random forests based on otolith features

Abstract

In this study, the population structure of Japanese Spanish mackerel Scomberomorus niphonius were investigated based on the geographical variation of otolith features, and the concept of random forests was introduced as a classifier. Samples were collected from eight main spawning grounds using commercial gill nets, covering the distribution range along the coast of China. Otolith shape was described by the shape variables and principle components of Fourier coefficients. Every possible combination of otolith variable was tested to search for an optimal variable combination. An intermediate number of variables (8 out of 13) produced the most discriminating signal, and then the eight grounds were divided into three stocks with 64.5 % global accuracy. The discriminant result provided phenotypic evidence for the common migration trajectory, and further confirmed the existence of a metapopulation in Japanese Spanish mackerel at a larger scale.