Abstract

Abstract.The demography of the long‐lived clonal dwarf‐shrubLinnaea borealiswas studied during four years in a coniferous forest in central Sweden. The main object was to infer patterns of temporal variation in population dynamics of this species. The shoot population is organized in fragments, i.e. physically connected systems of shoots partly covered by the moss carpet. The age and size structure of the fragment population is described, but shoots are more convenient units for a study of population dynamics. A stochastic model of shoot population dynamics was constructed, and simulations indicated a considerable temporal variation in population size and flowering. Hence, variability as such is an essential aspect of the dynamics of established populations ofLinnaea.Simulations of extinction risks revealed that small‐sized shoot populations (ca. 250 shoots) are likely to be long‐lived when experiencing environmentally induced demographic variation of the range observed. Mortality agents for established genets, such as large‐scale disturbances, were not incorporated in the models. Some implications of variable population growth rates in clonal plants in woodlands are discussed.

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