Abstract
To predict the optimal time for surgery after antibody administration, the population pharmacokinetics of (125)I-HuCC49deltaCH2 and (125)I-CC49 were characterized in 55 patients with colorectal cancers. A 2-compartment linear model was used to fit the pharmacokinetic data. Model stability and performance were assessed using a visual predictive check procedure. Different clinical trial designs were evaluated by simulation in combination with Bayesian estimation method to predict the optimal time for surgery. The results showed that HuCC49deltaCH2 had 65% faster clearance from blood circulation and 24% shorter mean residence time than CC49. Population pharmacokinetic analysis identified body weight as the only covariate to explain between-subject variability in clearance, intercompartmental flow rate, and volume of distribution. Model predictions indicated a wide interval for the optimal time of surgery, suggesting that it would be beneficial to individualize the time of surgery for each patient by measurement of antibody disposition. Clinical trial designs with at least 3 measurements of antibody disposition were found to be better than an empirical direct observation method for the optimal prediction of surgery time.
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