Abstract

For sea snakes as for many types of animals, long-term studies on population biology are rare and hence, we do not understand the degree to which annual variation in population sizes is driven by density-dependent regulation versus by stochastic abiotic factors. We monitored three populations of turtle-headed sea snakes (Emydocephalus annulatus) in New Caledonia over an 18-year period. Annual recruitment (% change in numbers) showed negative density-dependence: that is, recruitment increased when population densities were low, and decreased when densities were high. Windy weather during winter increased survival of neonates, perhaps by shielding them from predation; but those same weather conditions reduced body condition and the reproductive output of adult snakes. The role for density-dependence in annual dynamics of these populations is consistent with the slow, K-selected life-history attributes of the species; and the influence of weather conditions on reproductive output suggests that females adjust their allocation to reproduction based on food availability during vitellogenesis.

Highlights

  • All populations change in numbers through time, and an understanding of the mechanisms that drive those fluctuations can contribute to management and c­ onservation[1]

  • Using a mixed-model multiple regression approach, annual changes in abundance showed significant density-dependence; that is, a low population density was generally followed by an increase the following year, whereas a high population density was followed by a decrease (“pop. density” effect in Table 1; see Fig. 2 for univariate plot of these data)

  • At each of the three sites that we studied, the population densities of turtle-headed sea snakes varied among years

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Summary

Introduction

All populations change in numbers through time, and an understanding of the mechanisms that drive those fluctuations can contribute to management and c­ onservation[1]. Several studies have documented a link between annual variation in population densities and stochastic environmental factors, often mediated by abiotically-driven shifts in prey a­ vailability[4,9,10,11,12]. Density-dependence has been detected in reptile populations, most powerfully through experimental manipulations of ­abundance[17,18] Few data on this topic are available for marine snakes, due to logistical obstacles. We analyse information on numbers and recruitment-relevant traits (age structure, body condition, reproductive rate) to examine the roles of density-dependence and stochastic weather-induced factors in driving year-to-year variation in abundance in sea snake populations in small bays beside the city of Noumea

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