Abstract

Low levels of trust in government have potentially wide-ranging implications for governing stability, popular legitimacy, and political participation. Although there is a rich normative and empiricial literature on the important consequences of eroding trust in democratic societies, the causes of political trust are less clear. In this article we estimate the effect that changing Americans’ views about the perceived honesty and integrity of political authorities (or “political probity”) has on their trust in government using randomized survey experiments. In one experiment on a convenience sample and a direct replication on a more representative sample, we find that a single Op-Ed article about political probity increased trust in government by an amount larger than the partisan gap between Democrats and Republicans. These results complement prior observational studies on trust in government by demonstrating that political probity plays an important causal role in shaping Americans’ judgments about the trustworthiness of their government and politicians.

Highlights

  • Trust in government is an essential feature of democratic society [1], and governments depend on citizens’ trust to maintain legitimacy [2,3,4,5,6] and implement public policy [7,8,9,10]

  • In a third placebo experiment we find that the effects of Op-Eds about corruption in the National Football League (NFL) on political trust were negligible and not statistically distinguishable from zero, suggesting the effects in Experiments 1–2 were driven by shifting perceptions about the probity of political elites

  • Experiment 1 was conducted on Amazon Mechanical Turk (MTurk) respondents (n = 643), and Experiment 2 used a sample of respondents from Qualtrics panels (n = 1,324) that was selected to approximate the general population in the United States, and Experiment 3 was conducted on MTurk (n = 584)

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Summary

Introduction

Trust in government is an essential feature of democratic society [1], and governments depend on citizens’ trust to maintain legitimacy [2,3,4,5,6] and implement public policy [7,8,9,10]. In recent years, declining trust in government and politicans across many advanced democracies has been associated with democratic backsliding and a rise in support for anti-system parties and politicans, such as Donald Trump and Brexit [11, 12]. There is a rich normative and empiricial literature on the import consequences of eroding trust, relatively little is known about what causes political trust, or distrust.

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