Abstract

The concentration of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), which represents inhalable particles with diameters of 2.5 micrometers and smaller, is a vital air quality index. Such particles can penetrate deep into the human lungs and severely affect human health. This paper studies accurate PM2.5 prediction, which can potentially contribute to reducing or avoiding the negative consequences. Our approach’s novelty is to utilize the genetic algorithm (GA) and an encoder-decoder (E-D) model for PM2.5 prediction. The GA benefits feature selection and remove outliers to enhance the prediction accuracy. The encoder-decoder model with long short-term memory (LSTM), which relaxes the restrictions between the input and output of the model, can be used to effectively predict the PM2.5 concentration. We evaluate the proposed model on air quality datasets from Hanoi and Taiwan. The evaluation results show that our model achieves excellent performance. By merely using the E-D model, we can obtain more accurate (up to 53.7%) predictions than those of previous works. Moreover, the GA in our model has the advantage of obtaining the optimal feature combination for predicting the PM2.5 concentration. By combining the GA-based feature selection algorithm and the E-D model, our proposed approach further improves the accuracy by at least 13.7%.

Highlights

  • Industrialization and urbanization have brought considerable convenience to human lives

  • IMPACT OF THE genetic algorithm (GA)’s NUMBER OF GENERATIONS In this experiment, we study the impact of the number of generations in our GA-based feature selection algorithm

  • With the features selected by the GA-based algorithm, the ED-long short-term memory (LSTM) model further reduces the mean absolute error (MAE) by smaller than 53.7%, and 20.1% on average compared to AE-BiLSTM and AC-LSTM

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Summary

Introduction

Industrialization and urbanization have brought considerable convenience to human lives. They are generally associated with severe air pollution. People have raised concerns about air quality, especially near living areas. Particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) is one of the most important indexes to evaluate the severity of air quality, which is directly related to human health. PM2.5 particles in the air can bypass the nose and throat and penetrate deep into the lungs, causing many diseases, such as cardiovascular disease and respiratory disease. In [1], the authors reveal that long-term exposure to PM2.5 may lead to heart attack and stroke. Accurate PM2.5 forecasting is crucial and may help

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