Abstract
Coaches differ in in how they use the talents of their players and player rotation is among their most strategically important game management levers; some substitute sparingly while others routinely go to a deep bench. This research examines the impact of size of rotation on team performance and success among 7,154 NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball team performances collected over multiple seasons. Study findings demonstrate that depth of player rotation has a significant positive effect on game outcomes and that the relationship is conditioned by number of personal fouls, overall team strength and home court advantage. The pathways through which a larger rotation results in greater odds of winning include offensive rebounding, steals and overall defensive efficiency, all areas where the fresh legs, quick hands and sustained energy levels characteristic of a deeper bench can make a measurable difference. Advantages of a smaller core rotation are manifested at the offensive end of the court, notably in shooting percentages, ball control and overall offensive ratings.
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