Plasma level of M-CSF was independently related to 30-day survival in patients with suspected sepsis, and correlated to pathogen load: A prospective cohort study

According to previous investigations, CD14 is suggested to play a pivotal role in initiating and perpetuating the pro-inflammatory response during sepsis. A functional polymorphism within the CD14 gene, rs2569190, has been shown to impact the pro-inflammatory response upon stimulation with lipopolysaccharide, a central mediator of inflammation in sepsis. In this study, we hypothesized that the strong pro-inflammatory response induced by the TT genotype of CD14 rs2569190 may have a beneficial effect on survival (30-day) in patients with sepsis. A total of 417 adult patients with sepsis (and of western European descent) were enrolled into this observational study. Blood samples were collected for rs2569190 genotyping. Patients were followed over the course of their stay in the ICU, and the 30-day mortality risk was recorded as the primary outcome parameter. Sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores were quantified at sepsis onset and throughout the observational period to monitor organ failure as a secondary variable. Moreover, organ support-free days were evaluated as a secondary outcome parameter. TT-homozygous patients were compared to C-allele carriers. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed a higher 30-day mortality risk among C-allele carriers compared with T homozygotes (p = 0.0261). To exclude the effect of potential confounders (age, gender, BMI and type of infection) and covariates that varied at baseline with a p-value < 0.2 (e.g., comorbidities), we performed multivariate Cox regression analysis to examine the survival time. The CD14 rs2569190 C allele remained a significant covariate for the 30-day mortality risk in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 2.11; 95% CI, 1.08-4.12; p = 0.0282). The 30-day mortality rate among C allele carriers was 23%, whereas the T homozygotes had a mortality rate of 13%. Additionally, an analysis of organ-specific SOFA scores revealed a significantly higher SOFA-Central nervous system score among patients carrying the C allele compared with T-homozygous patients (1.9±1.1 and 1.6±1.0, respectively; p = 0.0311). In conclusion, CD14 rs2569190 may act as a prognostic variable for the short-term outcome (30-day survival) in patients with sepsis.

BackgroundLiver failure is associated with high short-term mortality, and the predictive value of clinical factors for patients undergoing artificial liver therapy is uncertain. We aim to develop prognostic models using several machine learning algorithms to predict 90-day survival in patients with liver failure undergoing artificial liver therapy.MethodsWe retrospectively enrolled hospitalized patients with liver failure who received artificial liver therapy in our center between December 2017 and December 2021. Prognostic characteristics were chosen by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and independent predictors by stepwise logistic regression analysis. Five machine learning algorithms—logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN)—were used to build and validate models to predict 90-day survival following Artificial liver support systems. The model performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value.ResultsA total of 197 patients were included in this study. LASSO regression, based on patient admission data, identified the top 15 prognostic features, and stepwise LR analysis determined that the age, direct bilirubin, retinol, alpha-fetoprotein, and thrombin time were independent predictors. Among the five machine learning models, LR achieved the highest predictive performance with an AUC of 0.884 and accuracy of 75.0%, followed by RF (AUC = 0.797), KNN (AUC = 0.788), XGBoost (AUC = 0.769), and SVM (AUC = 0.732). The predictive performance of LR models based on longitudinal data using patient characteristics from the day before treatment had an AUC of 0.869, and from the day after treatment, it had an AUC of 0.859.ConclusionMachine learning models showed promising performance in predicting 90-day survival in liver failure patients receiving artificial liver support therapy, potentially supporting individualized prognostic assessment.

A recent genome-wide association study showed that a genetic variant within the FER gene is associated with survival in patients with sepsis due to pneumonia. Because severe pneumonia is the main cause of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), we aimed to investigate the effect of the FER polymorphism rs4957796 on the 90-day survival in patients with ARDS due to pneumonia. An assessment of a prospectively collected cohort of 441 patients with ARDS admitted to three intensive care units at the University Medical Centre identified 274 patients with ARDS due to pneumonia. The 90-day mortality risk was recorded as the primary outcome parameter. Sepsis-related organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores and organ support-free days were used as the secondary variables. FER rs4957796 TT-homozygous patients were compared with C-allele carriers. The survival analysis revealed a higher 90-day mortality risk among T homozygotes than among C-allele carriers (p = 0.0144) exclusively in patients with severe ARDS due to pneumonia. The FER rs4957796 TT genotype remained a significant covariate for the 90-day mortality risk in the multivariate analysis (hazard ratio, 4.62; 95% CI, 1.58–13.50; p = 0.0050). In conclusion, FER rs4957796 might act as a prognostic variable for survival in patients with severe ARDS due to pneumonia.

IntroductionThe appropriate arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) in patients undergoing extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (ECPR) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains unclear. The present study aimed to investigate the relationship between hyperoxia and 30-day survival in patients who underwent ECPR.Materials and MethodsThis single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 2010 and December 2018. OHCA patients who underwent ECPR were included in the study. Exclusion criteria were (1) age <18 years, (2) death within 24 h after admission, (3) return of spontaneous circulation at hospital arrival, and (4) hypoxia (PaO2 < 60 mmHg) 24 h after admission. Based on PaO2 at 24 h after admission, patients were classified into normoxia (60 mmHg ≤ PaO2 ≤ 100 mmHg), mild hyperoxia (100 mmHg < PaO2 ≤ 200 mmHg), and severe hyperoxia (PaO2 > 200 mmHg) groups. The primary outcome was 30-day survival after cardiac arrest, while the secondary outcome was 30-day favorable neurological outcome. Multivariate logistic regression analysis for 30-day survival or 30-day favorable neurological outcome was performed using multiple propensity scores as explanatory variables. To estimate the multiple propensity score, we fitted a multinomial logistic regression model using the patients' demographic, pre-hospital, and in-hospital characteristics.ResultsOf the patients who underwent ECPR in the study center, 110 were eligible for the study. The normoxia group included 29 cases, mild hyperoxia group included 46 cases, and severe hyperoxia group included 35 cases. Mild hyperoxia was not significantly associated with survival, compared with normoxia as the reference (adjusted odds ratio, 1.06; 95% confidence interval: 0.30–3.68; p = 0.93). Severe hyperoxia was also not significantly associated with survival compared to normoxia (adjusted odds ratio, 1.05; 95% confidence interval: 0.27–4.12; p = 0.94). Furthermore, no association was observed between oxygenation and 30-day favorable neurological outcomes.ConclusionsThere was no significant association between hyperoxia at 24 h after admission and 30-day survival in OHCA patients who underwent ECPR.

Outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in adult congenital heart disease: a Danish nationwide study.

Early prognosis prediction in HBV-associated decompensated cirrhosis (HBV-DC) is important to decrease its high mortality. This study aimed to determine the relationship between neutrophil-to-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHR) and 30-day survival in HBV-DC patients. This retrospective study involved HBV-DC patients in our hospital from September 2020 to December 2022. The main outcome was 30-day survival. A multivariate analysis was performed to determine whether NHR influenced 30-day survival in the patients, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were conducted to calculate the prognostic accuracy of NHR versus Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. In this study, 146 HBV-DC patients were included, and 23 cases (15.8%) died within 30 days. The NHR values differed markedly between non-survivors and survivors, and high NHR was associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes. On ROC analyses, NHR showed similar predictive accuracy as MELDs for predicting mortality in HBV-DC. The present study suggests that NHR could be a useful new prognostic tool in HBV-DC patients.

Managing Septic Shock in Patients With Cirrhosis: The Role of Adrenal Insufficency

Predicting the short-term survival in cancer patients is an important issue for patients, family, and oncologists. Although the prognostic accuracy of the surprise question has value in 1-year mortality for cancer patients, the prognostic value for short-term survival has not been formally assessed. The primary aim of the present study was to assess the prognostic value of the surprise question for 7-day and 30-day survival in patients with advanced cancer. The present multicenter prospective cohort study was conducted in Japan from September 2012 through April 2014, involving 16 palliative care units, 19 hospital-based palliative care teams, and 23 home-based palliative care services. We recruited 2,425 patients and included 2,361 for analysis: 912 from hospital-based palliative care teams, 895 from hospital palliative care units, and 554 from home-based palliative care services. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the 7-day survival surprise question were 84.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 80.7%-88.0%), 68.0% (95% CI, 67.3%-68.5%), 30.3% (95% CI, 28.9%-31.5%), and 96.4% (95% CI, 95.5%-97.2%), respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for the 30-day surprise question were 95.6% (95% CI, 94.4%-96.6%), 37.0% (95% CI, 35.9%-37.9%), 57.6% (95% CI, 56.8%-58.2%), and 90.4% (95% CI, 87.7%-92.6%), respectively. Surprise questions are useful for screening patients for short survival. However, the high false-positive rates do not allow clinicians to provide definitive prognosis prediction. The findings of this study indicate that clinicians can screen patients for 7- or 30-day survival using surprise questions with 90% or more sensitivity. Clinicians cannot provide accurate prognosis estimation, and all patients will not always die within the defined periods. The screened patients can be regarded as the subjects to be prepared for approaching death, and proactive discussion would be useful for such patients.

Vasoconstrictor Therapy for the Hepatorenal Syndrome

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a severe complication of liver cirrhosis associated with excess short-term mortality rates. Orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is a potentially life-saving therapeutic modality for acute-on-chronic liver failure patients, but selection of transplant candidates with an acceptable post-transplant outcome is difficult. To assess the risk of liver transplantation in patients with ACLF, and to determine parameters that predict post-transplant survival in this patient cohort. We retrospectively analysed all 250 patients with cirrhosis who underwent their first liver transplantation between 2009 and 2014 at our institution, and assessed post-transplant outcomes. Of 250 cirrhotic liver transplant recipients, 98 patients fulfilled the diagnostic criteria for acute-on-chronic liver failure in the 3-month pre-transplant period. Compared to non-ACLF patients, ACLF was associated with significantly higher short-term morbidity and mortality after liver transplantation (90-day patient survival 96.1% non-ACLF vs 72.4% ACLF patients, P < 0.0001). Clinical improvement in the pre-transplant period, as defined by recovery of at least one previously failed organ system, was observed in 37 of 98 acute-on-chronic liver failure patients, mostly within several days after diagnosis. Most notably, clinical improvement prior to liver transplantation was associated with excellent post-transplant survival rates that approximated non-ACLF transplant recipients. Following the 90-day post-transplant period, patient survival and long-term graft functions were comparable between ACLF and non-ACLF liver transplant recipients for up to 5 years. Acute-on-chronic liver failure predicts adverse outcome after orthotopic liver transplantation. Given the dismal prognosis without transplantation, however, our results indicate that ACLF patients can be transplanted with comparably good outcomes, in particular patients who improve under conservative therapeutic measures.

Mild induced hypothermia and survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

Immune-Related Adverse Events and Outcomes in Patients with Advanced Non–Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Predictive Marker of Efficacy?

Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Foundation. Main funding source(s): The Danish Heart Foundation The Danish Foundation TrygFonden Background Serum potassium levels outside the normal range are associated with increased short-term mortality in patients with acute cardiovascular disease such as acute heart failure. In survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), the initial serum potassium concentration is often outside the normal range. However, it is unknown whether there is an association between initial serum potassium level and short-term mortality in OHCA survivors. Purpose The aim of this study was to describe potential associations between serum potassium level and 30-day survival in patients surviving OHCA. Methods We identified 1630 patients who had return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) at hospital arrival, and a registered post-OHCA serum-potassium value, using Danish nationwide registry data from 2001-2015. Thirty-day survival was analyzed according to the following seven predefined potassium levels: &amp;lt;2.5, 2.5-2.9, 3.0-3.4, 3,5-4.6, 4.7-5.5, 5.5-6.0, &amp;gt;6.0 mmol/L. Thirty-day survival was estimated using a multivariable Cox regression (reference normokalemia 3.5–4.6 mmol/L). The multivariable model included age, sex, Charlson comorbidity index, witnessed status, performance of CPR and first registered heart rhythm. Results During 30-day follow-up, survival in the seven strata was 29 (55.8%), 52 (61.9%), 167 (63.3%), 543 (58.7%), 66 (35.5%), 12 (28.6%), and 18 (23.4%), respectively. Standardized average risk ratios (ARR) of 30-day survival was significantly lower for all groups with hyperkalemia compared with normokalemia: 4.7-5.5 mmol/L: (ARR: 0.86, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.74–0.96); 5.5-6.0 mmol/L: (ARR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.52–0.98); &amp;gt;6.0 mmol/L: (ARR: 0.64, 95% CI: 0.50–0.79). Survival did not differ significantly in patients with hypokalemia compared with normokalemia: &amp;lt;2.5 mmol/L: (ARR: 0.87, 95% CI: 0.68–1.06); 2.5-2.9 mmol/L: (ARR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.93–1.19); 3.0-3.4 mmol/L: (ARR: 1.01, 95% CI: 0.93–1.10). Conclusions In OHCA survivors, hyperkalemia was associated with reduced 30-day survival compared with normokalemia. This association was independent of age, sex, Charlson comorbidity index, witnessed status, performance of CPR and first registered heart rhythm. Conversely, hypokalemia was not associated with reduced 30-day survival in this patient population.

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (AoCLF) is associated with a high mortality rate. Plasma exchange (PE) is useful to bridge patients with AoCLF to liver transplantation or recovery. The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score on 30-day survival in patients with AoCLF treated with PE or conventional medications and to evaluate the therapeutic effectiveness of PE. In this study, 62 enrolled patients with AoCLF who received PE treatment were compared with 131 patients treated with conventional medications. The MELD scores were calculated according to the original formula, and the 30-day survival in patients was recorded. The 30-day survival rate of the patients who received PE versus controls was 41.9% versus 25.2% (p < 0.05). The 30-day survival rate of patients in the PE group (50.0%) with a MELD score from 20 to 30 was higher than that of the control group (31.7%, p < 0.05); for MELD scores more than 30, there was no significant difference in two groups (8.3% vs. 0%, p > 0.05). PE seems to be efficacious and safe for the treatment of patients with AoCLF and significantly increased the survival rates of patients with a MELD score of 20-30.

Current data supporting the use of prone positioning (PP) during venovenous extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VV-ECMO) in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) are limited. This prospective randomized controlled study aimed to determine whether PP implemented within 24 hours of ECMO can improve survival in these patients. From June 2021 to July 2023, 97 adult patients receiving VV-ECMO for ARDS in three centers were enrolled and 1:1 randomized into PP (n=49) and control groups (n=48). Patients in the PP group receiving prone positioning, while the control group were maintained in the supine position. The primary outcome was 30-day survival, and secondary outcomes included in-hospital survival and other clinical outcomes. All 97 patients were included for analysis. Patient characteristics did not significantly differ between the two groups. The median duration of PP was 81 hours, and the median number of PP sessions was 5 times. PP improved oxygenation and ventilator parameters. The incidence of complications during PP was low, with pressure sores being the most frequent (10.2%). The 30-day survival was significantly higher in the PP group (67.3% vs. 45.8%; P=0.033), as was in-hospital survival (61.2% vs. 39.6%; P=0.033). In the PP group, the successful ECMO weaning rate was significantly higher (77.5% vs. 50.0%; P=0.005), and the duration of ECMO support was significantly shorter {10 [8-11] vs. 10 [8-14] days; P=0.038}. However, in subgroup analysis of COVID patients the 30-day survival, in-hospital survival, successful ECMO weaning rate and the duration of ECMO support did not differ between the groups. The duration of mechanical ventilation, length of intensive care unit stay, and length of hospital stay did not significantly differ between the groups. When initiated within 24 hours of ECMO, PP can improve 30-day survival in patients with ARDS receiving VV-ECMO. In addition, it may improve the successful ECMO weaning rate and reduce the duration of ECMO support. However, considering the limitations, more strictly designed, large sample prospective randomized controlled trials are proposed. Chinese Clinical Trial Registry ChiCTR2300075326.