Abstract

ObjectivePlasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA is considered a biomarker for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, its long-term role in NPC development is unclear.Materials and methodsA total of 1363 participants seropositive for EBV VCA-IgA and EBNA1-IgA in a community-based NPC screening program in southern China were tested for plasma EBV DNA levels by real-time qPCR between 2008 and 2015. New NPC cases were confirmed by active follow-up approach and linkage to local cancer registry through the end of 2016. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) for NPC risk with plasma EBV DNA.ResultsThirty patients were newly diagnosed during a median 7.5 years follow-up. NPC incidence increased with the plasma EBV DNA load ranging from 281.46 to 10,074.47 per 100,000 person-years in participants with undetectable and ≥ 1000 copies/ml levels; the corresponding cumulative incidence rates were 1.73 and 50%. Furthermore, plasma EBV DNA loads conferred an independent risk for NPC development after adjustment for other risk factors, with HRs of 7.63 for > 3–999 copies/ml and 39.79 for ≥1000 copies/ml. However, the HRs decreased gradually after excluding NPC cases detected in the first 2 to 3 years and became statistically nonsignificant by excluding cases detected during the first 4 years.ConclusionElevated plasma EBV DNA can predict NPC risk over 3 years. Monitoring plasma EBV DNA can be used as a complementary approach to EBV serological antibody-based screening for NPC.

Highlights

  • Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is rare in most parts of the world, it is fairly frequent in Southeast Asia [1]

  • nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) incidence increased with the plasma Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA load ranging from 281.46 to 10,074.47 per 100,000 person-years in participants with undetectable and ≥ 1000 copies/ml levels; the corresponding cumulative incidence rates were 1.73 and 50%

  • Plasma EBV DNA loads conferred an independent risk for NPC development after adjustment for other risk factors, with Hazard Ratios (HR) of 7.63 for > 3–999 copies/ml and 39.79 for ≥1000 copies/ml

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Summary

Introduction

Nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is rare in most parts of the world, it is fairly frequent in Southeast Asia [1]. Primary EBV infection usually occurs in childhood and the virus preferentially infects within memory B cells in latency in healthy individuals [3]. The virus is activated to an active lytic phase by endogenous and environmental stress. This transformation is regarded as the key step for NPC initiation and development, characterized by elevated viral DNA load and antibodies against multiple EBV antigens in circulation [4, 5]. EBV preferentially infects within memory B cells in latency in healthy individuals. The virus can be occasionally reactivated by endogenous and environmental stress, with increased aberrant virus reactivation and antibody responses against multiple EBV antigens, such as VCA-IgA, and EBNA1-IgA. Latent EBV infection is established in the malignant nasopharyngeal epithelial cells [7]

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