Abstract

This study investigated the predictive power of plasma adrenomedullin (AM) for future cardiovascular (CV) events. In 121 patients with multiple CV risk factors and/or disease, plasma concentrations of AM, high sensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and adiponectin were measured. During follow-up periods (mean, 3.5 years) after the baseline assessment, 28 patients newly experienced CV events such as stroke/transient ischemic attack, acute coronary syndrome, and congestive heart failure. The plasma level of AM, but not hs-CRP or adiponectin, was significantly higher in patients who had CV events than in event-free subjects. When the patients were divided into three groups by tertiles of basal levels of AM (<10.1, 10.1–13.1, and ≥13.1 fmol/mL), cumulative event-free rates by the Kaplan–Meier method were decreased according to the increase in basal AM levels (83.2%, 68.6%, and 52.8% in the lowest, middle, and highest tertiles of AM, respectively; log-rank test, P = 0.033). By univariate Cox regression analysis, previous coronary artery disease, creatinine clearance, and plasma AM and hs-CRP levels were significantly associated with CV events during follow-up. Among these possible predictors, high plasma AM ( P = 0.004) and low creatinine clearance ( P = 0.043) were independent determinants for morbidity in multivariate analysis. These findings indicate that plasma AM is a powerful independent predictor of future CV events in high-risk patients, suggesting its predictive value is superior to that of hs-CRP or adiponectin.

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