Abstract
This study aims to design a development plan for coffee farming in North Tapanuli Regency. The research methodology involves Location Quotient (LQ) analysis to identify the main bases of coffee farming, SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis with an A'WOT matrix for weighting determination, and coffee production trend analysis using a linear trend model to forecast production for the period 2023-2033. The findings reveal that several districts in North Tapanuli Regency, including Parmonangan, Sipoholon, Tarutung, Siatas Barita, Pangaribuan, Sipahutar, Siborongborong, Pagaran, and Muara, are identified as the main bases for coffee farming. Determining factors involve land, capital, market, human resources, and technology. Development strategies include institutional optimization, the formation of joint cooperatives, and enhanced coordination among relevant authorities. Production forecasts indicate positive growth until 2033. Recommendations involve institutional optimization, cooperative formation, increased coordination, land protection, and efforts to enhance human resources. With the implementation of these strategies, it is anticipated that coffee farming will positively contribute to the economic growth and well-being of the local community in North Tapanuli Regency.
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