Planktivorous fish predation masks anthropogenic disturbances on decadal trends in zooplankton biomass and body size structure in Lake Biwa, Japan

Abstract

AbstractPelagic zooplankton samples from Lake Biwa, Japan, collected monthly since 1971, were analyzed for biomass and body size structure. Our aim was to clarify the relative effects of food availability and global warming vs. top‐down control by fish predation on long‐term trends. Annual mean biomass and density‐weighted body size were calculated and compared with water temperature, total phosphorus (TP), as a proxy of food amount, and catch per unit effort (CPUE) of Ayu (Plecoglossus altivelis altivelis), as a proxy of planktivorous fish predation pressure. Mean water temperature above 20 m increased by 0.94°C. TP increased until 1974 and then decreased until 1985, becoming stable after that. Ayu CPUE increased until 1987 and then declined. The study period can be divided into two nutritional phases: a high TP phase (1971–1985) and a low‐stable TP phase (1986–2010). Five zooplankton taxa, Eodiaptomus japonicus, Cyclopoida spp., Daphnia spp., Bosmina longirostris, and Diaphanosoma orientalis, were continuously dominant. Annual mean total crustacean biomass varied from 0.3 to 3.6 g dry weight m−2, slightly decreasing until 1993 but increasing thereafter. Generalized linear models showed that annual mean body sizes were affected by temperature and CPUE, whereas annual mean biomass was affected by TP and CPUE. These had no effect during the high TP phase, whereas only CPUE affected both traits during the low‐stable TP phase. We concluded that zooplankton biomass and body size long‐term trends were mostly influenced by fish predation and that eutrophication and global warming impacts might be affected by top‐down control.