Abstract

The roles of planetary and synoptic-scale waves in extreme cold wave (ECW) events over the southeastern (SE) and northwestern (NW) United States (US) are studied using a spherical harmonic decomposition in conjunction with piecewise tendency diagnosis (PTD). Planetary waves and synoptic waves jointly work together to initiate ECW events. Notably, the planetary waves not only provide a direct contribution to circulation field enacting ECW events but also alter the background circulation field in such a manner that promotes synoptic waves growth via increases in regional barotropic deformation. The SE-ECW events, concurrent with the Northern Hemisphere annular mode (NAM) negative phase, feature high latitude intensification and subsequent southeastward movement of cold surface air temperature (SAT) anomalies. The planetary-scale pattern provides a sizable contribution to the total wave pattern on both sea level pressure (SLP) and upper level. Moreover, the negative NAM planetary anomaly acts to displace the jet equatorward and thereby increases the barotropic deformation of the synoptic-scale anomaly over southeastern US. PTD confirms that the planetary-scale barotropic deformation plays a key role in deepening the negative height anomaly with a secondary contribution from baroclinic growth. In contrast, NW-ECW events feature a regional SAT cold anomaly that intensified in situ in association with a quasi-stationary positive SLP anomaly with a substantial planetary-scale wave component. The upper level circulation is characterized by a pronounced anomalous ridge over the Gulf of Alaska and a northeast-southwest tilted negative height anomaly to its east. The negative height anomaly axis is orthogonal to the planetary-scale dilatation, result in a stronger planetary barotropic deformation of the incipient negative height anomaly.

Highlights

  • Extreme cold wave events, which are characterized by a rapid and intense air temperature drop, have profound societal and ecological consequences

  • We focus on the life cycles of SEECW and NW-extreme cold wave (ECW) events, which are related to a (a) negative Northern Hemisphere annular mode (NAM)-like pattern and (b) combination of negative West Pacific (WP) and positive North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)-like patterns, respectively

  • We have investigated the composite intraseasonal evolution of wintertime SE- and NW-ECW events, each separately linked to distinct planetary wave patterns, for the period of 1950–2005

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Summary

Introduction

Extreme cold wave events ( denoted cold air outbreaks; both here referred to as ECWs), which are characterized by a rapid and intense air temperature drop, have profound societal and ecological consequences. Xie et al (2017b) identified six boreal cold season daily planetary wave patterns using spherical harmonic analysis They found that one pattern resembling the negative NAM phase and a second combining the negative West Pacific (WP) teleconnection and positive NAO phases both favor the occurrence of ECWs over the continental US. Evans and Black (2003) extended PTD to incorporate spherical geometry, diabatic heating and ageostrophic effects and identified the primary growth mechanisms responsible for persistent flow anomalies They found that barotropic deformation, baroclinic growth and nonlinear eddy feedback play different roles in the various categories of persistent flow anomalies occurring over the North Pacific and North Atlantic. A summary and discussion are provided in the final section

Data and methodology
The SE‐ECW and NW‐ECW Events
30 January–4 February 1956 1 February
The SE‐ECW events
The NW‐ECW events
Findings
Summary and discussion

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