Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been characterized by sharp, rapid increases in disease incidence, following by a relative long and slow decrease in new cases. This unusual curve was particularly surprising as governments instituted drastic measures to stop the disease progression. This study was designed to model the post-peak decline in SARS-CoV-2 infection cases as a function of social distancing scores, daily tests, population density and average family sizes in select US counties.

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